Season grade: Below average -- It's hard to believe the Jaguars were 10 minutes away from the Super Bowl last season. Nineteen starters returned and yet the Jaguars finished with a losing record -- and double-digit losses -- for the seventh time in the past eight seasons. Injuries decimated the offensive line and tight end positions, Leonard Fournette missed six games with a hamstring injury, quarterback Blake Bortles regressed and got benched, and the defense, while still a top-10 unit statistically, didn't pressure the quarterback and force turnovers at the rate it did in 2017.
Season in review: September was pretty good (3-1 record) and the Jaguars avenged their loss to New England in Week 2, but things fell apart after a Week 4 victory against the New York Jets. Seven consecutive losses followed as the injuries mounted, Fournette was out of the lineup and Bortles played the way he did in 2016. The supposedly elite defense had multiple coverage busts and breakdowns that resulted in big plays -- including a disastrous first half against the Colts when tight ends caught three TD passes -- and the offense became too one-dimensional with Fournette ailing. Coach Doug Marrone fired offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and benched Bortles on Nov. 26 -- one day after an embarrassing loss in Buffalo in which Fournette left the bench, got into a fight, and was suspended for a game. The change resulted in one offensive touchdown in backup QB Cody Kessler's first three starts. The Jaguars actually scored only two offensive touchdowns in their final five games. The team also had a discipline problem. In addition to Fournette's fight, teammates Dante Fowler Jr. and Yannick Ngakoue got into a post-practice training camp fight in front of reporters, and Jalen Ramsey was suspended for a week for threatening a reporter (Fowler was suspended, too). And several players were arrested after refusing to pay a bar tab while the team was in London for its annual home game. The Jaguars also led the NFL in personal foul penalties for much of the season. It was, in short, a mess.
He said it: "We're not playing well as a team. I don't want to get into individual players or what side of the ball. Right now as a team, when you talk about takeaways, turnovers and field position, those are the three things we need to focus on, which are all three things our team can do a better job of. That's what we need to focus on first. Once we can get that corrected, then I think you can go to the next thing of the individual or things of that nature. We just have to get that corrected first. Maybe I'm just so close-minded on that aspect of it. Meaning if you don't do these things well the rest of it doesn't matter. That's how I truly feel and that is how I want to get this team right and back on track." -- Jaguars coach Doug Marrone
Will Tom Coughlin, Dave Caldwell and Marrone return for a third season together? Following up the first division title since 1999 and first playoff appearance since 2007 with a disaster like this season certainly puts the three in jeopardy. However, there is one legitimate excuse: The team was ravaged by injuries, especially the offensive line and tight ends. During the final three games of the season, nine of the 11 offensive starters were either backups (and in one case a fourth-teamer) or not with the team until mid-October. Plus, owner Shad Khan has shown remarkable patience with his football team (not so with his soccer team, which is on its fifth manager since he purchased it in 2013). He gave Gus Bradley four years before finally firing him, so it seems logical that Khan wouldn't dump Coughlin and Marrone one year after the Jaguars were in the AFC Championship Game. Caldwell is linked with Bortles, though, so that could play a big factor into whether he's back. However, it wouldn't be surprising if all three are back and given a chance to prove that 2017 wasn't a fluke.
What do the Jaguars do at quarterback? They're almost certainly going to draft one with their first pick, but expect the team to also explore the free-agent market to bring in a veteran as a bridge player to give the rookie time to develop if he's not ready. It's not a great group of free-agent quarterbacks, though. Tyrod Taylor, Josh McCown, Teddy Bridgewater and Ryan Fitzpatrick top the list. There might be some high profile starters available if they're cut by their teams such as Joe Flacco, Jameis Winston, Eli Manning, and Nick Foles. Economics might rule those players out because they'll be in demand and the Jaguars really can't get into a bidding war. Oregon's Justin Herbert and Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins were generally regarded as the best quarterbacks in the 2019 draft class, but Herbert announced he will return to school.
How do they fix their cap issues? Per ESPN's Roster Management system, the Jaguars are $12.2 million over the projected salary cap in 2019. Also looming over the team is a potential $16.5 million dead cap hit if they cut Bortles before June 1. Still, the situation isn't as troublesome as it appears. The Jaguars can easily find $26.3 million in cap savings by cutting Bortles, defensive tackle Malik Jackson, right tackle Jermey Parnell and running back Carlos Hyde. That number gets even bigger if they decide to part ways with defensive end Calais Campbell, defensive tackle Marcell Dareus and safety Tashaun Gipson (a total of $27.6 million in cap savings), though the Jaguars aren't likely to release all three. Campbell and Dareus are still productive and have had very good seasons, and Gipson played pretty well in 2017. The bottom line is the team can make a significant amount of space and be able to sign Ngakoue or linebacker Myles Jack to an extension if they choose. This likely means the Jaguars won't be major players in free agency, though. That would take them out of the running for any of the expensive QB options.