Pedroia on Hall of Fame path?

July, 25, 2011
In light of Sunday's induction of former big league second baseman Roberto Alomar into the Hall of Fame, Joe McDonald wonders if Dustin Pedroia's career could see him headed to Cooperstown some day?

Also, Dan Szymborski from the Baseball Think Factory looks at under-28 players that are currently on Hall of Fame career tracks. Szymborski (Insider access required) puts Pedroia on the fence (25-50 percent chance) and writes:

Once we get into the 25-50 percent range, you're looking at players who have very good odds for the Hall early on, but could see their chances drop with a decline in play.

Dustin Pedroia is at 23 WAR at 27, but second basemen have a hard road in general; not only do they need more WAR to get into the Hall, but they have pretty steep aging curves that shorten their careers. Bobby Grich and Lou Whitaker are two of the biggest snubs, and ZiPS puts Pedroia in the range (58 WAR) where it's not a slam dunk. Pedroia is at 48 percent odds now (a lot can go wrong in 10 years), but playing for the Red Sox won't hurt him.

Click HERE to read the rest of Szymborski's analysis



You must be signed in to post a comment

Already have an account?