What's gone wrong? Where to start ...

April, 7, 2011
Jeremy Lundblad from ESPN Stats and Information checks in with some striking numbers from Boston’s 0-6 start. Here’s a sampling from his column:

• Six losses in a row is nothing to scoff at no matter when it happens. It matches the team's longest string of losses at any time during a season since Terry Francona took over in 2004. A loss on Friday would make seven. That would be the longest losing streak since the 2001 season fell apart with nine losses in a row at the end of August.

• After Thursday's 1-0 loss to the Cleveland Indians, the Red Sox are off to their worst start since 1945. At 0-6, they tied for the second worst start in franchise history (1905 and 1927). That 1945 team started 0-8.

• Entering the season, AccuScore gave Boston a 66.8 percent chance of reaching the postseason. Based on 10,000 simulations, the Red Sox were projected to win 94.9 games. Those calculations have been revised after the 0-6 start. Now, Boston is projected to win 85.7 games, and AccuScore has almost been chopped the Sox's postseason forecast in half, to 36.6 percent. For a team with such high expectations, such a start seems unimaginable. Indeed, coming into the season, the Red Sox started 0-6 in just 1.4 percent of AccuScore's projections. An 0-7 start? That happened a mere 0.8 percent of the time.

• After seven scoreless innings from Jon Lester on Thursday, Red Sox starters still have a 6.68 ERA. The bullpen (8.04) has been even worse.

• Through six games, the offense has managed 16 runs. That's just one more than the 1945 team had at this point.

• The vaunted Red Sox lineup returns to Fenway with a .181 batting average and a .544 OPS.

• So far, the Red Sox are fielding the lineup equivalent of nine Travis Woods. Last season, Wood hit .189 with a .568 OPS for Reds, so it's actually a bit worse than that. And yes, he's a pitcher.

• With runners in scoring position, the Red Sox are struggling even more, hitting .159 with just three hits in their last 37 at-bats (.081 BA).



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