Prediction time: The week's college football picks

November, 6, 2009

Well, 7-1 is not a bad week. Kudos to the SMU Mustangs, who proved me wrong and beat Tulsa on the road. That was a big win that puts them just two victories away from a bowl game, their first since 1984.

Shoutout to Ponyup53, who did have SMU winning. Also, GMoose816 and iruletheskool questioned how I could predict three TDs for Baylor. Well, I just decided to take a chance and thought maybe special teams would play a part in that one. I was wrong. They scored 10 points, as GMoose816 predicted. Nice job there. Oh, and yes, bradlane6, I did get on the field as a member of the marching band. That's nothing to be ashamed about

Onto this week's picks:

Central Florida at Texas: After moving the Texas Tech game to earlier in the year, this comes at a great time for the Longhorns. They are through that tough four-game stretch and remain in position to play for the national title. All they have to do is win. That shouldn't be a problem against George O'Leary's Central Florida team. I can't see Texas looking past this game. Prediction: Texas 48, UCF 6

Texas A&M at Colorado: After losing by the stunning score of 62-14 to Kansas State, Texas A&M has managed to turn things around. They crushed Texas Tech in Lubbock and beat Iowa State. They head to Colorado with plenty of momentum and are improving on both sides of the ball. I think Jerrod Johnson has a big day and the Aggies get to six wins. They remain the biggest hurdle left on Texas' schedule between now and the national championship game. Prediction: Texas A&M 35, Colorado 24

Baylor at Missouri: Baylor played better in the second half of last week's 20-10 loss to Nebraska and the Bears talked this week about putting two halves together and playing better from the start. That's not easy to do on the road. I do think the Bears hang in here, but Missouri will have enough at home to get the job done. Prediction: Missouri 21, Baylor 13

Oklahoma State at Iowa State: The Cowboys made plenty of mistakes and couldn't figure out the Texas defense. But the Longhorns defense has done that to a lot of folks this season. I expect a big bounce-back from OSU on Saturday. Mike Gundy will have his team ready and I imagine we'll see a better performance from Zac Robinson, who must forget about last week. Prediction: Oklahoma State 35, Iowa State 14

Oklahoma at Nebraska: This should be a fun matchup of good defenses. And it's always fun to watch Nebraka's Ndamukong Suh. But I still think Oklahoma will pull away enough to win this game by 10 or more. I know that they had a big lead and watched Kansas State close that gap considerably last week. I think this one stays close and then the Sooners get a few big plays late. Prediction: Oklahoma 24, Nebraska 13

Rice at SMU: The Mustangs are heavy favorites and they should be. Rice is 0-8 and has been outscored by 245. SMU has a bunch riding on these last four games. If the Mustangs win two of them, they are going bowling. They'll be fired up and should take care of business. I'll be blogging from that game on Saturday, by the way, to see if SMU can get within one win of bowl eligibility. Prediction: SMU 45, Rice 17

Louisiana-Monroe at North Texas: The Mean Green managed to pull out a high-scoring affair with Western Kentucky (we mean really high, as in 68-49) last week and are looking for a third win this season. Louisiana-Monroe is good against the run, sitting at No. 16 in the country. So it will be interesting to see if UNT can gain yards on the ground with Lance Dunbar. La.-Monroe is not as good at defending the pass, so the Mean Green may have to get this done in the air. This is a tough one to pick, but I'll go with the home team. Barely. Prediction: North Texas 27, Louisiana-Monroe 24

TCU at San Diego State: The Frogs better not look past the Aztecs toward next week's home game with Utah. San Diego State is 4-4, but they hung around with BYU before losing by 10 and have won two straight, including a victory at Colorado State. TCU has struggled on the road against the Aztecs the last two trips to San Diego (won by 3 in 2005 and needed to rally from 17 down in the first quarter in 2007). But as has been the case with this TCU team this season, they manage to not get ahead of themselves. I think they get this done, but it won't be any kind of UNLV score from last week. Look for TCU to have success running the ball. That includes plenty of Andy Dalton zone reads too. Prediction: TCU 28, San Diego State 13



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