NFL Week 4 early betting look: It's time to believe in the NFC


Six NFL teams started new quarterbacks in Week 3. Those teams went 5-1 ATS, with the Dolphins being the only loser. Did the market overreact to the fresh faces under center, or are these results of a small sample?

I'll touch on a few of these games and dissect the early line moves that I agree and disagree with in Week 4. I'll also break down how I am attacking a depleted AFC in the futures market. Let's get into it.

Portfolio checkup

Buy the NFC, and sell the AFC

How quickly the tables have turned. In the offseason, everybody was hyping the potential Super Bowl contenders in the AFC: Patriots, Chiefs, Colts, Chargers, Browns, Steelers. In the NFC, it was the Saints or Rams and a severe drop-off to the next best in the conference. Due to some unfortunate circumstances (Andrew Luck retiring and Ben Roethlisberger getting injured for the season) and the Browns and Chargers not looking as good as preseason expectations, the AFC suddenly appears to be a two-team race. The NFC, however, has teams such as the Cowboys, Packers, Vikings and 49ers emerging as legitimate squads to be reckoned with come playoff time. I still even have an irrational belief in the Falcons!