Why FPI thinks there is futures value in Ohio State

The Buckeyes' Chase Young leads one of the best defenses in the nation. Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire

The betting market and our Football Power Index (FPI) and Allstate Playoff Predictor often agree -- but not always. This week we're focusing on futures and where our model disagrees with the market.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.

Ohio State Buckeyes to win national title

Caesars Sportsbook: +250

Allstate Playoff Predictor: 35.7% (+180)

The Allstate Playoff Predictor dished out plenty of skepticism about Ohio State's chances the preseason. But it quickly did an about-face on the Buckeyes and has been more bullish than the market on their shot to win the national title for several weeks now. Even with Ohio State's odds dipping to their shortest yet this season, our model suggests they aren't short enough.