Forecast: Updated series predictions for each first-round matchup
Originally Published: April 20, 2017
ESPN.com

When bad things happen to 1-seeds
Take a look back at the five times that an 8-seed has upset a 1-seed in the NBA playoffs.
Who will advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs? We polled the ESPN Forecast panel of experts heading into Game 3 of each first-round series.
Here are the results, displaying each team's updated chances to win the series, along with predictions from ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI), FiveThirtyEight and a fan poll.
More: Forecast: Pre-round predictions | Vote! | 2017 Playoffs home
ESPN Forecast: Bulls score the 1-8 upset

Series odds (Bulls lead 2-0)
BOS (%) | CHI (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 22 | 78 |
FiveThirtyEight | 18 | 82 |
Fan panel | 30 | 70 |

ESPN Forecast: Cavs flip switch to Round 2

Series odds (Cavaliers lead 2-0)
CLE (%) | IND (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 92 | 8 |
FiveThirtyEight | 82 | 18 |
Fan panel | 95 | 5 |

ESPN Forecast: Raptors battle past Bucks

Series odds (tied 1-1)
TOR (%) | MIL (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 70 | 30 |
FiveThirtyEight | 60 | 40 |
Fan panel | 60 | 40 |

ESPN Forecast: Wizards outmuscle Hawks

Series odds (Wizards lead 2-0)
WAS (%) | ATL (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 86 | 14 |
FiveThirtyEight | 92 | 8 |
Fan panel | 85 | 15 |

ESPN Forecast: Warriors breeze past Blazers

Series odds (Warriors lead 2-0)
GS (%) | POR (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 99 | 1 |
FiveThirtyEight | 98 | 2 |
Fan panel | 99 | 1 |

ESPN Forecast: Spurs handle the Grizzlies

Series odds (Spurs lead 2-0)
SA (%) | MEM (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 97 | 3 |
FiveThirtyEight | 97 | 3 |
Fan panel | 97 | 3 |

ESPN Forecast: Rockets silence the Thunder

Series odds (Rockets lead 2-0)
HOU (%) | OKC (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 93 | 7 |
FiveThirtyEight | 89 | 11 |
Fan panel | 89 | 11 |

ESPN Forecast: Clips edge Jazz

Series odds (tied 1-1)
LAC (%) | UTAH (%) | |
---|---|---|
BPI | 48 | 52 |
FiveThirtyEight | 46 | 54 |
Fan panel | 52 | 48 |
ESPN Forecast and the fan panel predictions were conducted in coordination with Microsoft Research. Join the fan panel here.
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